1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 4
1.2 List of Figures 4

2 Flashback (January to June 2018) 6

3 Key Events: July - December 2018 7

4 Global Overview - Summary 8
4.1 Global growth to strengthen further in 2018 8
4.2 Global Overview - Key Highlights 9

5 GCRI - Country Ranking 11

6 GCRI: Global Landscape 2018 13

7 Regiol Alysis 14
7.1 Asia Pacific 14
7.1.1 Regiol Risks in Terms of Likelihood 14
7.1.2 Asia Pacific Region - Risk Highlights 15
7.1.3 Political Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 17
7.1.4 Economic Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 18
7.1.5 Economic Outlook: Asia-Pacific 20
7.1.6 Social Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 22
7.1.7 Technology Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 23
7.1.8 Legal Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 24
7.1.9 Environment Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region 25
7.2 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q1 2018 26
7.3 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q1 2018 27
7.4 Europe Region 28
7.4.1 Regiol Risks in Terms of Likelihood 28
7.4.2 Europe - Risk Highlights 29
7.4.3 Political Outlook: Europe Region 31
7.4.4 Economic Outlook: Europe 33
7.4.5 Economic Outlook: Europe 35
7.4.6 Social Outlook: Europe 37
7.4.7 Technology Outlook: Europe Region 38
7.4.8 Legal Outlook: Europe 39
7.4.9 Environment Outlook: Europe Region 40
7.5 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q1 2018 41
7.6 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q1 2018 42
7.7 Americas 43
7.7.1 Regiol Risks in Terms of Likelihood 43
7.7.2 Americas - Risk Highlights 44
7.7.3 Political Outlook: Americas 46
7.7.4 Economic Outlook: Americas 48
7.7.5 Economic Outlook: Americas 50
7.7.6 Social Outlook: Americas 51
7.7.7 Technological Outlook: Americas 52
7.7.8 Legal Outlook: Americas 53
7.7.9 Environment Outlook: Americas 54
7.8 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q1 2018 55
7.9 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q1 2018 56
7.10 Middle East and Africa 57
7.10.1 Regiol Risks in Terms of Likelihood 57
7.10.2 Middle East and Africa - Key Highlights 58
7.10.3 Political Outlook: Middle East and Africa 60
7.10.4 Economic Outlook: Middle East and Africa 62
7.10.5 Social Outlook: Middle East and Africa 64
7.10.6 Technological Outlook: Middle East and Africa 65
7.10.7 Legal Outlook: Middle East and Africa 66
7.10.8 Environment Outlook: Middle East and Africa 67
7.11 Countries with Improved Ranks in Q1 2018 68
7.12 Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q1 2018 69

8 Methodology and Appendix 70
8.1 Country Ranking and Scores 70
8.1.1 Europe 70
8.1.2 Americas 71
8.1.3 Asia Pacific 72
8.1.4 Middle East and Africa 73
8.2 GCRI - Methodology and Sources 74
8.2.1 Spshot of Methodology 74
8.2.2 Secondary sources 75
8.3 Contact Us 77
8.4 Disclaimer 77