Table of Content
Soft Drinks in South Africa
Euromonitor International
December 2021
List Of Contents And Tables
SOFT DRINKS IN SOUTH AFRICA
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Soft drinks in 2021: The big picture
2021 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
Foodservice vs retail split
What next for soft drinks?
CHART 1 Soft Drinks Off-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2019-2026
CHART 2 Soft Drinks On-Trade Volume Sales Growth Scenarios: 2019-2026
CHART 3 Soft Drinks Impact of Drivers on Off-Trade Volume Sales: 2019-2026
CHART 4 Soft Drinks Impact of Drivers on On-Trade Volume Sales: 2019-2026
MARKET DATA
Table 1 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2016-2021
Table 2 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 3 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2016-2021
Table 4 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 5 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2020
Table 6 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2020
Table 7 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2020
Table 8 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2020
Table 9 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 10 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 11 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 12 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 13 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2016-2021
Table 14 Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 15 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2017-2021
Table 16 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD): % Volume 2018-2021
Table 17 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2017-2021
Table 18 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks: % Value 2018-2021
Table 19 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 20 Penetration of Private Label in Off-trade Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2016-2021
Table 21 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 22 Distribution of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Format and Category: % Volume 2021
Table 23 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: Volume 2021-2026
Table 24 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 25 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2021-2026
Table 26 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2021-2026
Table 27 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 28 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 29 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 30 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: Volume 2021-2026
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Soft Drinks by Total Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
APPENDIX
Fountain sales in South Africa
Trends
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 1 Research Sources
CARBONATES IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Sugar tax increases demand for low calorie cola carbonates
Coca-Cola South Africa retains dominance of carbonates
Private label increases penetration during lockdown period
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Reduced sugar and low calorie offerings expected to maintain demand
Increasing competition from leading retailers’ private label lines likely
Orange carbonates and lemonade/lime face increasing pressure
CATEGORY DATA
Table 33 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2016-2021
Table 34 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: Value 2016-2021
Table 35 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 36 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Carbonates: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 37 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 38 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 39 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 40 Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 41 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2016-2021
Table 42 Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 43 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 44 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 45 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2017-2021
Table 46 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Carbonates: % Value 2018-2021
Table 47 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 48 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 49 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 50 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Carbonates by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
Table 51 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: Volume 2021-2026
Table 52 Forecast Total Sales of Carbonates by Fountain On-trade: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
JUICE IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Juice’s limited shelf life impacts demand in 2021
Claims of health and wellness offerings fail to persuade health-conscious consumers
Nectars maintain value, despite decreasing volume sales
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Slow recovery as moderate growth anticipated
Leading brands set for shake-up
Demand determined by price and flavour combination
CATEGORY DATA
Table 53 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 54 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 55 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 56 Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 57 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 58 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 59 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2017-2021
Table 60 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Juice: % Value 2018-2021
Table 61 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 62 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 63 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 64 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
BOTTLED WATER IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Robust demand for bottled water through off-trade
Negative press influences performance of leading brand
Reduced lockdown still heavily impacts demand through on-trade
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Fast recovery for on-trade sales over forecast period
Independent bottled water refill businesses experience increasing demand
Product differentiation will be highlighted in sizes and private label offerings
CATEGORY DATA
Table 65 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 66 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 67 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 68 Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 69 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 70 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 71 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2017-2021
Table 72 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Bottled Water: % Value 2018-2021
Table 73 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 74 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 75 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 76 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Bottled Water by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
SPORTS DRINKS IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Growth remains restricted, but stable compared to previous year
Intense competition between leading brands
Established distribution and production capacity help sustain moderate demand
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Health-conscious consumers could drive demand for reduced sugar sports drinks
Substitute offerings will intensify competition
Sports drinks offers further room for new entrants
CATEGORY DATA
Table 77 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2016-2021
Table 78 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2016-2021
Table 79 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 80 Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 81 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 82 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 83 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2017-2021
Table 84 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Sports Drinks: % Value 2018-2021
Table 85 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Volume 2021-2026
Table 86 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: Value 2021-2026
Table 87 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 88 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Sports Drinks: % Value Growth 2021-2026
ENERGY DRINKS IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Competition increases as brands differentiate based on flavour, price and packaging
Local brands continue to make inroads
High in sugar, high in energy not necessarily a hallmark
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Availability of several brands to benefit consumers’ purchasing power going forward
Flavour innovation to continuously change and evolve
Reduced sugar offerings to be highlighted
CATEGORY DATA
Table 89 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2016-2021
Table 90 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2016-2021
Table 91 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 92 Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 93 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 94 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 95 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2017-2021
Table 96 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Energy Drinks: % Value 2018-2021
Table 97 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Volume 2021-2026
Table 98 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: Value 2021-2026
Table 99 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 100 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Energy Drinks: % Value Growth 2021-2026
CONCENTRATES IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Flavour innovations by leading brand Oros prove to be successful
Powder concentrates remains consolidated competitive landscape
Sustained growth due to home seclusion and affordability of products
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Private label’s affordability and appeal to increase
Bigger pack sizes and storage capabilities to see increasing demand
Reduced sugar offerings to see higher demand
CATEGORY DATA
Concentrates Conversions
Summary 2 Concentrates Conversion Factors for Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Format
Table 101 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 102 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 103 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 104 Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 105 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2018-2021
Table 106 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2017-2021
Table 107 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Concentrates: % Value 2018-2021
Table 108 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2021
Table 109 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Liquid Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2018-2021
Table 110 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2017-2021
Table 111 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade Powder Concentrates (RTD): % Volume 2018-2021
Table 112 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 113 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates (RTD) by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 114 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 115 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Concentrates by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
RTD TEA IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2021 DEVELOPMENTS
Established Lipton retains overall leadership
BOS Ice Tea makes steady gains
Increasing flavour options and healthier variants
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Reduced sugar and rooibos options to experience increasing demand
Space for private label
Packaging in terms of convenience and price to be emphasised
CATEGORY DATA
Table 116 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2016-2021
Table 117 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2016-2021
Table 118 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2016-2021
Table 119 Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2016-2021
Table 120 Leading Flavours for Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2016-2021
Table 121 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2017-2021
Table 122 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Volume 2018-2021
Table 123 NBO Company Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2017-2021
Table 124 LBN Brand Shares of Off-trade RTD Tea: % Value 2018-2021
Table 125 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Volume 2021-2026
Table 126 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: Value 2021-2026
Table 127 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Volume Growth 2021-2026
Table 128 Forecast Off-trade Sales of RTD Tea by Category: % Value Growth 2021-2026
RTD COFFEE IN SOUTH AFRICA
2021 DEVELOPMENT