Defense and Security in China Forecast

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Jun 2012 110 Synergyst ASDR-59572

China is the fourth largest country in the world and has the highest population. Speaking of its economy, it has been in a slump as of 2010 and the major reasons for it could be attributed to the shrink in growth of exports as well as fewer fixed asset investments. In spite of all this, China has managed to put a hold on the crashing economy by letting private consumption carry on and sustaining the growth of its GDP. With the inflation not willing to surrender, China is left with no other choice but to adopt measures that would help it maintain the GDP for the time being, but this could come at the price of compromising the country's growth in the long run.

Just like any other nation, China too aspires for a sturdy geo-political control in its own territory. In fact, this has already alarmed the Japanese and Russian states as they fathom their weakening in front of the ever thriving China. The US too realizes that China is now a force to reckon with and hence nurtures its role of a mediator between the three supremacies.

Anyhow, the same can't be said for Taiwan and North Korea, as they still continue to have a shaky relationship with China as has been the case throughout the course of history. These countries, including Japan, are still apprehensive of placing their trusts in one another as memories of age old battles still linger. There's no ignoring the fact that a minor frictional spark will be enough in flaring up South Korea and China over their Korean Peninsula issue.

The country has a considerable size of defense industry that offers low-cost alternatives in arms than that from the US, Russia and the UK, which can be seen as a massive advantage for China. However, the industry is state-owned, which enervates it to think out of the box and be innovative. To add further to its troubles, the EU arms embargo has also barred China from accessing certain technologies. What the Chinese state needs now is an overall restructuring of the defense industry, followed by liberalization if it wants a sustainable evolution.

As far as the Chinese security is concerned, it has an indomitable standing army that keeps its borders secure from any invasion, although it does require immutable monitoring across its frontiers. By making the most of diplomatic opportunities, China can absolutely empower its security. China has proven its capability to overcome the worst in the recent global recession crisis by managing its economy fairly well. This has also gotten economic analysts across the globe to believe that China could overtake the US in becoming the largest economy by 2020, hence putting an end to America's age long hegemony. The only detrimental China must encounter now has to be its own inflated ego. If it succeeds in doing so then there's no questioning the fact that it will definitely do well for itself in all aspects.

In this industry scenario, Synergyst analyzes the Defense and Security industries in China. The report covers the following:

• In order to understand the development of the Chinese defense and security industry, it is important to take a look at the geopolitical situation in the world, particularly in North East Asia. Our research report analyzes the emergence of a new geopolitical situation in the world through a look at the new roles to be played by the United States, China, Japan, the Koreas, India, Russia, Europe, Brazil, Turkey, Iran, the Middle East, and Africa, in the coming years.

• The emergence of new great powers around the world in the face of growing global terrorism is analyzed in the report.

• An analysis of the security market in North East Asia is important in establishing the growing importance of China in this industry across this entire region. The geopolitical significance of North East Asia is important as there are many flashpoints in the region that could have an impact on China's emergence as a leader in this industry in the region.

• Situation on the Russia-China border, China's Western Border, China-North Korea border, China-India border, and China's growing military presence in the region is looked at.

• Japan's influence in the region cannot be overlooked as well as the importance of maintaining geopolitical status quo in the North East Asian region. All this and more is analyzed in the report Defense and Security in China.

• In order to examine the defense and security industries in China, it is necessary to analyze the political landscape in China, including the major political transitions on the horizon, the 12th Five Year Plan, problem of rising inflation, and other factors impacting the defense and security market of China are analyzed.

• Moving on to the analysis of the security industry in China, we analyze the domestic security situation as well as the external security situation. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of China-India relations, China-Japan relations, China-Korea relations, China-Russia relations, China-Taiwan relations, China-Tibet relations, and China-US relations, and the implications these pose for the Chinese security industry.

• The EU Arms embargo and its impact on China is analyzed.

• We carry out a SWOT analysis of the Chinese Security Market.

• An analysis of China’s Armed Forces is necessary in order to establish the growing importance of China in the Asian region in terms of military presence. Global deployments of Chinese armed forces and China's weapons of mass destruction are all analyzed in this section.

• Moving on to an analysis of China's defense industry, we analyze the market profile, the role of the five year plan for the defense industry, industry trends, competition in the industry, China's arms trade, and procurement of arms in the industry.

• We carry out a SWOT analysis of the Chinese Defense Industry.

• Major industry players are analyzed along with a profile of their activities in the defense and security industry.

• Outlook for the Chinese Defense and Security Industry is carried out through a forecast for the Armed Forces, forecast for defense expenditure, and a forecast for defense trade in the country.

• A political and economic SWOT of China completes this comprehensive profile of China's Defense and Security Industry.

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