Market Surge: 2015–2020 CAGR 16.3% Vs. 3.8% 2000-2015 CAGR. Granulated Into 54 Submarkets

The terror attack in central Berlin, when a large truck ploughed through one of Germany’s most hallowed holiday institutions, the Christmas market, killing 12 and injuring dozens, as well as the Paris and Brussels terror attacks coupled with the arrival in Germany of 1.2 million migrants (UN Data), shook the German government, people, homeland security (Heimatsutz) and the intelligence communities. A major upgrade of the German internal security and migration enforcement infrastructure funding is already underway. Based on 6 months of intensive research, interviews and analyses, we forecast that the 2015-2020 market will grow at a CAGR of 16.3%, a 430% hike from the 3.8% CAGR during 2000-2015. 2015 will probably be remembered as a watershed year for Germany’s internal security market, with a number of different developments converging to mark a major turning point.

The two-volume* + one "Germany Homeland Security & Public Safety Market – 2017-2022" report is the most comprehensive review of the market available today. It provides a detailed and reasoned roadmap of this growing market.

The report covers the German Homeland Security Immigration Enforcement & Public Safety markets since in most cases, products and services have dual or triple use applications and present the same business opportunities (e.g., biometric modalities are used for the following three sectors: counter-crime, immigration enforcement and counter terror).

Germany Counter Terror, Immigration Enforcement & Public Safety Market is boosted by the following drivers:

  • Germany, the 4th largest economy in the world with a 2015 GDP of approximately $4 trillion, can invest “whatever it takes” to protect its citizens from the looming risks of terror and the surge of migration.
  • The Paris and Brussels 2015-2016 terror attacks shook Germany unlike any other recent homegrown or ISIS-Da’esh-inspired terrorist attacks since they were complex and well-planned.
  • Germany is facing problems with a far greater impact than its economic ones. ISIS terror threats coupled with the surge in entry of 1.2 million migrants are alarming facts, and show no signs of abating. Present measures are simply not working. A major nation-wide overhaul of the internal security infrastructure and strategy is essential.
  • Terrorist attacks elsewhere in Europe are gradually leading Germany to rethink its liberal attitude towards aggressive security and surveillance policies, rooted in its historical experiences of totalitarian Nazism and Communism.
  • Unlike other countries, Germany cannot use its armed forces in order to increase readiness domestically due to constitutional prohibitions. That leaves Germany’s police as the first and last line of defense and response to any terror attack. However, they are simply not equipped for the challenge.
  • With a number of different converging developments, 2015-2016 will probably be remembered as watershed years for Germany’s internal security market.
  • According to the German Domestic Intelligence Agency (BFV), Germany has about 8,650 ultra-conservative Salafist Muslims. At least 800 young people (60% of whom are German passport holders) have left to fight in Syria, of which around 260 have returned. In all, security services estimate that about 500 potentially dangerous Islamist radicals currently live in the country.
  • Since the year 2001, 11 attacks on German targets by radical Islamists were thwarted.
  • In April 2016 ISIS has called for German Muslims to specifically target Chancellor Angela Merkel’s office in Berlin and to attack the Cologne-Bonn airport.
  • The German market for security & safety products is sophisticated and well served. Even with a preference for locally manufactured products, foreign products can usually strongly compete on the basis of price and performance. They do not encounter any direct trade barriers or quotas. Non-tariff, indirect trade barriers may be the approval process of dual use goods, which include many security market products.

This report is a resource for executives with interests in the German market. It has been explicitly customized for the security industry and government decision-makers in order to enable them to identify business opportunities, developing technologies, market trends and risks, as well as to benchmark business plans.

Questions answered in this 489-page, segmented by 54 submarkets two-volume + one* report include:

  • What will the market size and trends be during 2016-2022?
  • Which submarkets provide attractive business opportunities?
  • Who are the decision-makers?
  • What drives the German Homeland Security & Public Safety managers to purchase solutions and services?
  • What are the customers looking for?
  • What are the technology & services trends?
  • What is the market SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities & Threats)?
  • What are the challenges to market penetration & growth?